A do ta t\u00ebrheq\u00eb k\u00ebmb\u00ebz\u00ebn Presidenti rus Vladimir Putin?<\/p>\n
Nuk ka pik\u00ebpyetje m\u00eb urgjente dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr v\u00ebzhguesit e Kremlinit, q\u00eb po p\u00ebrpiqen t\u00eb kuptojn\u00eb n\u00ebse k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimet e udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit rus jan\u00eb thjesht blof.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr momentin, analist\u00ebt sugjerojn\u00eb se rreziku q\u00eb Presidenti Putin t\u00eb v\u00ebr\u00eb n\u00eb p\u00ebrdorim arsenalin m\u00eb t\u00eb madh b\u00ebrthamor t\u00eb bot\u00ebs duket t\u00eb jet\u00eb i ul\u00ebt. CIA thot\u00eb se nuk ka v\u00ebn\u00eb re shenja t\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrgatitje p\u00ebr sulm t\u00eb af\u00ebrt b\u00ebrthamor nga Rusia.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, zotimet e tij se do t\u00eb p\u00ebrdor\u00eb \u201ct\u00eb gjitha mjetet n\u00eb dispozicion\u201d p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbrojtur Rusin\u00eb, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb po sulmon Ukrain\u00ebn, po merren shum\u00eb seriozisht. Dhe pretendimi q\u00eb ai b\u00ebri t\u00eb premten se Shtetet e Bashkuara \u201cvendos\u00ebn precedentin\u201d duke hedhur bombat b\u00ebrthamore gjat\u00eb Luft\u00ebs s\u00eb Dyt\u00eb Bot\u00ebrore, e rriti m\u00eb shum\u00eb rrezikshm\u00ebrin\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore.<\/p>\n
Sht\u00ebpia e Bardh\u00eb ka paralajm\u00ebruar p\u00ebr \u201cpasoja katastrofike p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb\u201d n\u00ebse Presidenti Putin vendos t\u00eb p\u00ebrdor\u00eb opsionin b\u00ebrthamor.<\/p>\n
Por, nuk dihet n\u00ebse kjo do ta ndal\u00eb Presidentin Putin. V\u00ebzhguesit e nervozuar t\u00eb Kremlinit pranojn\u00eb se nuk mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb siguri se \u00e7far\u00eb ka ai n\u00eb mendje, apo edhe n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb racional dhe i mir\u00ebinformuar.<\/p>\n
Ish-agjenti i KGB-s\u00eb ka demonstruar d\u00ebshir\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb nd\u00ebrmarr\u00eb veprime dhe taktika t\u00eb rrezikshme. \u00cbsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb edhe p\u00ebr agjencit\u00eb per\u00ebndimore t\u00eb zbulimit, megjith\u00eb satelit\u00ebt q\u00eb disponojn\u00eb, q\u00eb t\u00eb konkludojn\u00eb n\u00ebse Presidenti Putin po b\u00ebn blof apo v\u00ebrtet synon t\u00eb thyej\u00eb tabun\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore.<\/p>\n
\u201cKomuniteti amerikan i zbulimit nuk ka par\u00eb ndonj\u00eb hap praktik, se ai po i afrohet momentit t\u00eb v\u00ebnies n\u00eb p\u00ebrdorim, apo se ekziston nj\u00eb rrezik i menj\u00ebhersh\u00ebm, p\u00ebr p\u00ebrdorimin e arm\u00ebve b\u00ebrthamore\u201d, tha drejtori i CIA-s William Burns, n\u00eb nj\u00eb intervist\u00eb p\u00ebr kanalin CBS.<\/p>\n
\u201cAjo q\u00eb duhet t\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb ta marrim shum\u00eb seriozisht dhe t\u00eb shohim p\u00ebr shenja t\u00eb p\u00ebrgatitjeve reale\u201d, tha zoti Burns.<\/p>\n
\u00c7far\u00eb shkakton konfuzion p\u00ebr v\u00ebzhguesit e Kremlinit \u00ebsht\u00eb se nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e qart\u00eb se si p\u00ebrdorimi i forc\u00ebs b\u00ebrthamore mund t\u00eb ndihmoj\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb rikuperuar humbjet ushtarake t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Forcat ukrainase nuk po p\u00ebrdorin tanke t\u00eb p\u00ebrq\u00ebndruara n\u00eb formacione t\u00eb m\u00ebdha p\u00ebr t\u00eb rimarr\u00eb territor dhe luftimet zhvillohen ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb p\u00ebr territore t\u00eb vogla, si p.sh. fshatra. Pra, \u00e7far\u00eb objektivi mund t\u00eb vendosnin n\u00eb objektiv forcat b\u00ebrthamore ruse p\u00ebr t\u00eb patur nj\u00eb efekt fitimtar?<\/p>\n
\u201cArm\u00ebt b\u00ebrthamore nuk jan\u00eb nj\u00eb shkop magjik\u201d, thot\u00eb Andrey Baklitskiy, me Institutin e OKB-s\u00eb p\u00ebr Studimet e \u00c7armatimit, q\u00eb specializohet n\u00eb rreziqet b\u00ebrthamore. \u201cAto nuk jan\u00eb di\u00e7ka q\u00eb thjesht e v\u00eb n\u00eb p\u00ebrdorim p\u00ebr t\u00eb zgjidhur t\u00eb gjitha problemet q\u00eb ke\u201d.<\/p>\n
Analist\u00ebt shpresojn\u00eb q\u00eb tabuja p\u00ebr p\u00ebrdorimin e arm\u00ebve b\u00ebrthamore do t\u00eb sh\u00ebrbej\u00eb si nj\u00eb dekurajim. P\u00ebrmasat e tmerrshme t\u00eb vuajtjeve njer\u00ebzore n\u00eb Hiroshima dhe Nagasaki, pasi Shtetet e Bashkuara i shkat\u00ebrruan k\u00ebto qytete me bomba b\u00ebrthamore m\u00eb 6 gusht dhe 9 gusht 1945, jan\u00eb nj\u00eb argument i fuqish\u00ebm kund\u00ebr p\u00ebrs\u00ebritjes s\u00eb p\u00ebrdorimit t\u00eb arm\u00ebve t\u00eb tilla. Nga ato sulme u vran\u00eb 210 mij\u00eb persona.<\/p>\n
\u201c\u00cbsht\u00eb ende tabu n\u00eb Rusi kalimi i k\u00ebtij pragu\u201d, thot\u00eb Dara Massicot, studiuese e politikave n\u00eb Korporat\u00ebn Rand, gjithashtu ish-analiste e aft\u00ebsive ushtarake t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb, n\u00eb Departamentin amerikan t\u00eb Mbrojtjes.<\/p>\n
\u201c\u00cbsht\u00eb nj\u00eb nd\u00ebr vendimet m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira n\u00eb historin\u00eb e njer\u00ebzimit\u201d, thot\u00eb zoti Baklitskiy.<\/p>\n
Reagimi mund ta shnd\u00ebrroj\u00eb Presidentin Putin n\u00eb person t\u00eb braktisur n\u00eb mbar\u00eb globin.<\/p>\n
\u201cThyerja e tabus\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore, do t\u00eb vendoste minimalisht nj\u00eb izolim t\u00eb plot\u00eb diplomatik dhe ekonomik ndaj Rusis\u00eb\u201d, thot\u00eb Sidharth Kaushal, studiues n\u00eb Institutin Mbret\u00ebror t\u00eb Sh\u00ebrbimeve t\u00eb Bashkuara n\u00eb Lond\u00ebr, q\u00eb specializohet n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e siguris\u00eb dhe mbrojtjes.<\/p>\n
Arm\u00ebt b\u00ebrthamore me rreze t\u00eb gjat\u00eb, q\u00eb Rusia do t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorte n\u00eb rast t\u00eb nj\u00eb konflikti t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb me Shtetet e Bashkuara, jan\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb gatshme luftarake. Por nuk jan\u00eb n\u00eb gatishm\u00ebri rezervat e saj t\u00eb mbushjeve b\u00ebrthamore p\u00ebr rreze m\u00eb t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr, t\u00eb ashtuquajturat arm\u00eb taktike, q\u00eb Presidenti Putin mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorte n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb.<\/p>\n
\u201cT\u00eb gjitha mbushjet gjenden n\u00eb magazina\u201d, thot\u00eb Pavel Podvig, studiues q\u00eb specializohet p\u00ebr arm\u00ebt b\u00ebrthamore n\u00eb nj\u00eb organizat\u00eb t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb n\u00eb Gjenev\u00eb.<\/p>\n
\u201cAto duhen nxjerr\u00eb nga bunker\u00ebt, duhen ngarkuar n\u00eb kamion\u00eb dhe pastaj duhen montuar n\u00ebp\u00ebr raketa apo sistemet e tjera t\u00eb l\u00ebshimi\u201d, thot\u00eb ai.<\/p>\n
Rusia nuk ka publikuar nj\u00eb inventar t\u00eb plot\u00eb t\u00eb arm\u00ebve t\u00eb saj b\u00ebrthamore dhe kapaciteteve t\u00eb tyre. Presidenti Putin mund t\u00eb urdh\u00ebroj\u00eb q\u00eb nj\u00eb arm\u00eb m\u00eb e vog\u00ebl t\u00eb b\u00ebhet gati n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb fsheht\u00eb dhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrgatitet p\u00ebr nj\u00eb p\u00ebrdorim t\u00eb befasish\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
Gjithashtu, nxjerrja e dukshme e arm\u00ebve nga magazinat do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr taktik\u00eb, q\u00eb Presidenti Putin mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorte p\u00ebr t\u00eb shtuar presionin, pa i v\u00ebn\u00eb k\u00ebto arm\u00eb n\u00eb p\u00ebrdorim. Ai do t\u00eb priste q\u00eb satelit\u00ebt amerikan\u00eb ta pikasnin aktivitetin dhe ndoshta do t\u00eb shpresonte se duke treguar \u201cdh\u00ebmb\u00ebt b\u00ebrthamor\u00eb\u201d mund t\u2019i trembte fuqit\u00eb per\u00ebndimore, q\u00eb ta pak\u00ebsojn\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetjen q\u00eb i japin Ukrain\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
\u201cKjo \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo \u00e7far\u00eb do t\u00eb prisnin rus\u00ebt, se p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi i ofron pal\u00ebs tjet\u00ebr nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim, por edhe nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi p\u00ebr t\u00eb negociuar me Rusin\u00eb\u201d, thot\u00eb zoti Kaushal.<\/p>\n
Ai shton se: \u201cEkziston nj\u00eb lloj gjuhe n\u00eb sinjalizimin b\u00ebrthamor dhe t\u00eb rrezikshm\u00ebris\u00eb, dhe nj\u00eb logjik\u00eb; pra \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb tep\u00ebr se thjesht nj\u00eb i \u00e7mendur, q\u00eb nj\u00eb dit\u00eb vendos t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb, apo at\u00eb veprim\u201d.<\/p>\n
Analist\u00ebt gjithashtu presin q\u00eb t\u00eb ket\u00eb fillimisht p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzime t\u00eb tjera, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb rritje t\u00eb sulmeve ruse n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, pa p\u00ebrdorur arm\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore.<\/p>\n
\u201cNuk mendoj se do t\u00eb ket\u00eb nj\u00eb rrufe n\u00eb qiell t\u00eb hapur\u201d, tha Nikolai Sokov, i cili mori pjes\u00eb n\u00eb negociatat p\u00ebr kontrollin e arm\u00ebve kur punonte p\u00ebr Ministrin\u00eb e Jashtme t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb dhe q\u00eb tashm\u00eb punon n\u00eb Qendr\u00ebn p\u00ebr \u00c7armatimin dhe Mosp\u00ebrhapjen n\u00eb Vjen\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Analist\u00ebt gjithashtu kan\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi n\u00eb identifikimin e objektivave n\u00eb fush\u00ebbetej\u00eb q\u00eb do kishin vler\u00eb t\u00eb mjaftueshme p\u00ebr \u00e7mimin e lart\u00eb, q\u00eb do t\u00eb paguante Presidenti Putin. N\u00ebse nj\u00eb goditje b\u00ebrthamore nuk do t\u00eb ndalte avancimin ukrainas, a do t\u00eb godiste ai s\u00ebrish?<\/p>\n
Zoti Podvig thot\u00eb se n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb luft\u00eb nuk ka p\u00ebrq\u00ebndrim t\u00eb madh t\u00eb forcave q\u00eb mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrb\u00ebnin objektiv p\u00ebr nj\u00eb sulm b\u00ebrthamor.<\/p>\n
Sulmi b\u00ebrthamor ndaj qyteteve, me shpres\u00ebn se Ukraina do t\u00eb tronditej mjaftuesh\u00ebm, q\u00eb t\u00eb dor\u00ebzohej, do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb alternativ\u00eb e tmerrshme.<\/p>\n
\u201cVendimi p\u00ebr t\u00eb vrar\u00eb dhjet\u00ebra dhe qindra mij\u00ebra njer\u00ebz me gjakftoht\u00ebsi, do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb vendim i v\u00ebshtir\u00eb\u201d, thot\u00eb ai. \u201cAshtu si\u00e7 duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n
Presidenti Putin mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb duke shpresuar se thjesht k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimet mund ngadal\u00ebsojn\u00eb furnizimin me arm\u00eb nga Per\u00ebndimi p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn, dhe do t\u2019i jepnin m\u00eb shum\u00eb koh\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb st\u00ebrvitur 300 mij\u00eb forcat shtes\u00eb, q\u00eb po mobilizon, duke shkaktuar protesta dhe nj\u00eb eksod t\u00eb meshkujve t\u00eb aft\u00eb p\u00ebr luft\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Por, n\u00ebse Ukraina vazhdon t\u00eb rimarr\u00eb territoret e pushtuara dhe Presidenti rus Putin konstaton se nuk mundet t\u00eb mbahen m\u00eb territoret e pushtuara, analist\u00ebt i frik\u00ebsohen rrezikut n\u00eb rritje, se ai mund t\u00eb vendos\u00eb se nuk ka m\u00eb opsione jo-b\u00ebrthamore.<\/p>\n
\u201cPutini po rr\u00ebzon v\u00ebrtet shum\u00eb ura pas tij tashm\u00eb, me mobilizimin dhe me aneksimin e territoreve t\u00eb reja\u201d, thot\u00eb zonja Massicot.<\/p>\n
\u201cKjo na sugjeron se ai \u00ebsht\u00eb angazhuar p\u00ebr nj\u00eb fitore t\u00eb plot\u00eb sipas kushteve t\u00eb tij\u201d, shton ajo. \u201cJam shum\u00eb e shqet\u00ebsuar se ku do t\u00eb na \u00e7oj\u00eb kjo, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb edhe tek nj\u00eb lloj vendimi b\u00ebrthamor\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
A do ta t\u00ebrheq\u00eb k\u00ebmb\u00ebz\u00ebn Presidenti rus Vladimir Putin? Nuk ka pik\u00ebpyetje m\u00eb urgjente dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr v\u00ebzhguesit e Kremlinit, q\u00eb po p\u00ebrpiqen t\u00eb kuptojn\u00eb n\u00ebse k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimet e udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit rus jan\u00eb thjesht blof. P\u00ebr momentin, analist\u00ebt sugjerojn\u00eb se rreziku q\u00eb Presidenti Putin t\u00eb v\u00ebr\u00eb n\u00eb p\u00ebrdorim arsenalin m\u00eb t\u00eb madh b\u00ebrthamor t\u00eb bot\u00ebs …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":25322,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25321"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25321"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25321\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25322"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25321"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25321"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25321"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}