{"id":23094,"date":"2022-09-10T19:22:57","date_gmt":"2022-09-10T19:22:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/?p=23094"},"modified":"2022-09-10T19:22:57","modified_gmt":"2022-09-10T19:22:57","slug":"6-muaj-nga-pushtimi-rus-i-ukraines","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/2022\/09\/10\/6-muaj-nga-pushtimi-rus-i-ukraines\/","title":{"rendered":"6 muaj nga pushtimi rus i Ukrain\u00ebs"},"content":{"rendered":"

Himars<\/i>. \u00cbsht\u00eb kjo fjala ky\u00e7 e jav\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit p\u00ebr t\u00eb treguar zhvillimet e pushtimit rus t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs.\u00a0High Mobility Artillery Rocket System\u00a0<\/i>\u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb sistem i shum\u00ebfisht\u00eb l\u00ebshimi raketash, shum\u00eb i leht\u00eb, q\u00eb montohet mbi mjetet ushtarake dhe q\u00eb dallohet prej aft\u00ebsis\u00eb godit\u00ebse, duke d\u00ebmtuar n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb thell\u00eb, objektiva deri n\u00eb 120 kilometra larg\u00ebsi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

N\u00eb pritje t\u00eb ndryshimit t\u00eb skenarit<\/b><\/p>\n

Ekspert\u00ebt amerikan\u00eb i konsiderojn\u00eb k\u00ebto sisteme, t\u00eb furnizuar nga Sht\u00ebpia e Bardh\u00eb p\u00ebr Kievin duke filluar nga korriku i kaluar, \u201cgame changer<\/i>\u201d n\u00eb kuptimin e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb t\u00eb fjal\u00ebs, arm\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb prodhojn\u00eb nj\u00eb ndryshim t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm n\u00eb ekuilibrat e konfliktit dhe q\u00eb kan\u00eb l\u00ebn\u00eb nj\u00eb gjurm\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb n\u00eb terren, me m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 30 sulme t\u00eb ushtris\u00eb ukrainase t\u00eb shkuara n\u00eb shenj\u00eb kund\u00ebr qendrave t\u00eb shp\u00ebrb\u00ebrjes, magazinave t\u00eb municioneve dhe strukturave logjistike t\u00eb komand\u00ebs ushtarake ruse, t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn sipas asaj q\u00eb b\u00ebhet e njohur nga Qendra p\u00ebr Komunikimin Strategjik dhe Sigurin\u00eb Informatike e qeveris\u00eb ukrainase. \u201cForcat e armatosura ukrainase po p\u00ebrdorin sistemet raketore me rreze t\u00eb gjat\u00eb me rezultate t\u00eb m\u00ebdha, ka deklaruar disa jav\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb sekretari amerikan i Mbrojtjes Lloyd J. Austin, dhe mendoj se diferenca q\u00eb k\u00ebto arm\u00eb po prodhojn\u00eb n\u00eb terren \u00ebsht\u00eb e dukshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n

K\u00ebshtu, pas nj\u00eb faze t\u00eb par\u00eb t\u00eb konfliktit, q\u00eb dukej e favorshme p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb, n\u00eb gjendje q\u00eb t\u00eb pushtoj\u00eb midis fundit t\u00eb pranver\u00ebs dhe fillimit t\u00eb ver\u00ebs t\u00eb gjith\u00eb provinc\u00ebn e Luganskut dhe zemr\u00ebs industriale t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs lindore t\u00eb Donbasit, ndjesia \u00ebsht\u00eb se tani ushtarak\u00ebt ukrainas jan\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb realizojn\u00eb aksione kund\u00ebrsulmi p\u00ebr t\u00eb rifituar pozicione sidomos n\u00eb bregun jugor t\u00eb vendit, n\u00eb zon\u00ebn e Detit t\u00eb Zi. 16 sistemet\u00a0Himars<\/i>\u00a0e d\u00ebrguar nga Shtetet e Bashkuara p\u00ebr Kievin, si aneks st\u00ebrvitor i personelit ushtarak ukrainas, jan\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur deri m\u00eb tani, p\u00ebr shembull, p\u00ebr t\u00eb ushqyer sulme ndaj qytetit Kherson, kapur gryk\u00ebderdhjen e Dnieprin, e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme p\u00ebr t\u00eb arritur si Krimen\u00eb, ashtu edhe zon\u00ebn e Mariupolit, dhe p\u00ebr momentin n\u00ebn kontrollin e Mosk\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

K\u00ebto aksione, bashkuar me operacione sabotazhi n\u00eb Krime dhe me luft\u00ebn partizane n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb rajoneve limitrofe, sidomos n\u00eb\u00a0oblastin<\/i>\u00a0juglindor t\u00eb Zaporzhizhias, e kan\u00eb detyruar Rusin\u00eb t\u00eb transferoj\u00eb disa mij\u00ebra njer\u00ebt nga Donbasi drejt jugut, duke rihapur nj\u00eb front q\u00eb rus\u00ebt besonin se e kishin krejt\u00ebsisht n\u00ebn kontroll. Aksionet shqet\u00ebsuese dhe kund\u00ebrsulmuese t\u00eb l\u00ebshuara nga Ukraina n\u00eb korrik e n\u00eb gusht nuk jan\u00eb p\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme vet\u00ebm nga pik\u00ebpamja strategjike, por edhe n\u00eb frontin e brendsh\u00ebm, pasi rigjall\u00ebrojn\u00eb energjit\u00eb mendore si t\u00eb trupave n\u00eb terren, ashtu edhe t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb civile.<\/p>\n

Raportet e forc\u00ebs ushtarake<\/b><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr element t\u00eb cilit i duhet kushtuar v\u00ebmendje, duke shikuar n\u00eb muajt e ardhsh\u00ebm t\u00eb luft\u00ebs dhe n\u00eb 6 muajt e konfliktit tashm\u00eb prapa krha\u00ebve, ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb me nj\u00eb faz\u00eb t\u00eb dyt\u00eb q\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara kan\u00eb vendosur t\u00eb nd\u00ebrmarrin p\u00ebr sa i p\u00ebrket mb\u00ebshtetjes ushtarake ndaj Kievit. Niveli teknik i arm\u00ebve t\u00eb d\u00ebrguara nga Uashingtoni n\u00eb fakt po rritet eksponencialisht, si\u00e7 e demonstron d\u00ebrgimi, p\u00ebrve\u00e7 i\u00a0Himars<\/i>, edhe i\u00a0ScanEagle<\/i>, drone t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorura p\u00ebr t\u00eb lokalizuar dhe rr\u00ebzuar mjetet ajrore ruse dhe q\u00eb mund t\u00eb q\u00ebndrojn\u00eb n\u00eb kuot\u00eb p\u00ebr m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 18 or\u00eb. Natyrisht, nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e mjaftueshme q\u00eb t\u00eb mund t\u00eb mendosh p\u00ebr nj\u00eb p\u00ebrmbysje totale t\u00eb raporteve t\u00eb forc\u00ebs n\u00eb planin ushtarak midis Ukrain\u00ebs dhe Rusis\u00eb, q\u00eb vazhdon t\u00eb ket\u00eb nj\u00eb superioritet strategjik vendimtar n\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb fronte. P\u00ebr shembull, n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e hapur resurset e limituara t\u00eb artilieris\u00eb s\u00eb ushtris\u00eb ukrainase nuk mund\u00ebsojn\u00eb t\u00eb nisen ofensiva direkte, por i detyrojn\u00eb ukrainasit t\u00eb spostohen me shpejt\u00ebsi pas inkursioneve p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur zjarrin e kund\u00ebrbateris\u00eb ruse. Faktikisht, Rusia mund t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetet mbi raketa me rreze t\u00eb gjat\u00eb q\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb fakt n\u00eb disponueshm\u00ebrin\u00eb ukrainase dhe mungesa e s\u00eb cil\u00ebs bllokon qysh n\u00eb lindje \u00e7do tentativ\u00eb sulmo frontal. Pik\u00ebrisht mbi k\u00ebt\u00eb aspekt n\u00eb jav\u00ebt e fundit \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur presioni i ministrit ukrainas t\u00eb Mbrojtjes Oleksii Reznikov ndaj Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara me q\u00ebllim q\u00eb t\u2019i jepen Kievit sistemet raketore me rreze t\u00eb gjat\u00eb si ATACMS (Army Tactical Missile System), me nj\u00eb rreze deri n\u00eb 300 kilometra. \u201cShpresojm\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb merret me shpejtis\u00eb nj\u00eb vendim politik p\u00ebr t\u00eb na furnizuar me ATACMS\u201d, ka deklaruar n\u00eb fillimet e gushtit Reznikov gjat\u00eb nj\u00eb interviste me radiotelevizioni shtet\u00ebror amerikan Voice of America. \u201cKjo do t\u00eb na mund\u00ebsonte jo vet\u00ebm q\u00eb t\u00eb mbronim ushtar\u00ebt tani, por sidomos t\u2019i sulmonim kund\u00ebrshtar\u00ebt n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb efikase\u201d.<\/p>\n

Situata aktuale e p\u00ebrdorimit p\u00ebrb\u00ebn gjith\u00ebsesi nj\u00eb sinjal t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm karshi asaj q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e mundur t\u00eb pritet nga kjo faz\u00eb e konfliktit: nj\u00eb impenjim gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb i vendosur i Uashingtonit dhe i NATO p\u00ebrkrah Ukrain\u00ebs. Mund t\u00eb ec\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb drejtim d\u00ebrgimi p\u00ebr Kievin i avion\u00ebve luftarak\u00eb, i bllokuar deri m\u00eb tani nga tentativa diplomatike p\u00ebr t\u00eb mos krijuar nj\u00eb f\u00ebrkim politik t\u00eb m\u00ebtejsh\u00ebm midis Mosk\u00ebs dhe aleanc\u00ebs euro \u2013 atlantike, por q\u00eb tani nis t\u00eb diskutohet n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb konkrete. N\u00eb 6 muajt e par\u00eb t\u00eb luft\u00ebs pabarazia e resurseve midis Ukrain\u00ebs dhe Rusis\u00eb i ka dor\u00ebzuar n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb pashmangshme qiejt n\u00eb duart e Mosk\u00ebs. Me mbi 1500 mjete ajrore ushtarake kundrejt rreth 100 t\u00eb ukrainasve, ushtria ruse ka mundur t\u2019i furnizoj\u00eb nj\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetje ajrore substanciale trupave tok\u00ebsore t\u00eb saj, duke u shtyr\u00eb deri n\u00eb 200 aksione ajrore n\u00eb dit\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa Kievit i \u00ebsht\u00eb dashur t\u00eb kryej\u00eb nj\u00eb betej\u00eb selektive, duke u mbrojtur n\u00eb ajpr vet\u00ebm ku \u00ebsht\u00eb e nevojshme, p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur humbjen e flot\u00ebs ajrore tashm\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb reduktuar, e p\u00ebrb\u00ebr\u00eb kryesisht nga gjuajt\u00ebs\u00a0MIG-29<\/i>\u00a0e\u00a0SU-27<\/i>\u00a0dhe nga bombardues taktik\u00eb\u00a0SU-24<\/i>\u00a0e\u00a0SU-25<\/i>.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb motiv, nga 24 shkurti Ukraina p\u00ebr sa i p\u00ebrket mbrojtjes ajrore i ka besuar sistemeve raketore tok\u00eb \u2013 aj\u00ebr me rreze t\u00eb gjat\u00eb, p\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr me rezultate t\u00eb konsiderueshme, por megjithat\u00eb pa mundur t\u00eb kund\u00ebrbalancoj\u00eb supremacin\u00eb e Mosk\u00ebs. T\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm kan\u00eb qen\u00eb edhe dron\u00ebt, sidomos bombarduesi me guid\u00eb lazer\u00a0Bayraktar TB2<\/i>, i prodhimit turk, dhe amerikan\u00ebt\u00a0Phoenix Ghost<\/i>\u00a0e\u00a0Switchblade<\/i>. Pavar\u00ebsisht nga puna e mir\u00eb mbrojt\u00ebse e avancuar nga Ukraina, \u00ebsht\u00eb evidente sesi heqja e bllokimit t\u00eb furnizimeve t\u00eb mjeteve ajrore nga ana e NATO do ta ndryshonte rr\u00ebnj\u00ebsisht konfliktin. Nj\u00eb ushtri ukrainase n\u00eb gjendje q\u00eb t\u00eb mund t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetet mbi avion\u00eb bombardues si\u00a0F-15<\/i>\u00a0e\u00a0F-16<\/i>\u00a0do t\u00eb ishte edhe m\u00eb forcuese n\u00eb tentativ\u00ebn e saj p\u00ebr t\u00eb rihapur, k\u00ebsaj radhe n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb definitive, frontin jugor t\u00eb konfliktit.<\/p>\n

Zelensky, ukrainasit dhe Per\u00ebndimi<\/b><\/p>\n

Duke filluar nga k\u00ebto dinamika del n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb qart\u00eb sesi mesazhi i presidentit ukrainas Volodymyr Zelensky ndaj bot\u00ebs per\u00ebndimore n\u00eb 6 muaj nga fillimi i luft\u00ebs vazhdon t\u00eb jet\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb i nj\u00ebjti: \u201cKemi nevoj\u00eb sidomos vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr arm\u00eb dhe, n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb e mundur, p\u00ebr ta detyruar Putinin t\u00eb ul\u00ebt n\u00eb tryez\u00ebn e bisedimeve me ne\u201d. Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb pozicion t\u00eb pranuar nga pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e popullsis\u00eb ukrainase, q\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb semest\u00ebr konflikti ka demonstruar se \u00ebsht\u00eb e vendosur t\u00eb rezistoj\u00eb ndaj pushtimit dhe n\u00eb rezonanc\u00eb t\u00eb plot\u00eb me qeverin\u00eb. Nj\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsim plastik i moralit t\u00eb ukrainasve respektivisht konfliktit \u00ebsht\u00eb praktikisht ai i mij\u00ebra njer\u00ebzve q\u00eb koh\u00ebt e fundit jan\u00eb mbledhur n\u00eb qend\u00ebr t\u00eb Kievit p\u00ebr t\u00eb asistuar n\u00eb ekspozimin, e organizuar nga ministria e Mbrojtjes ukrainase, e mjeteve ruse t\u00eb rr\u00ebzuara n\u00eb luft\u00eb, nj\u00eb sekuenc\u00eb e gjat\u00eb e tankeve, pjes\u00ebve t\u00eb artilieris\u00eb, kamion\u00ebve ushtarak\u00eb, helikopter\u00ebve dhe avion\u00ebve, t\u00eb ekspozuara n\u00eb shum\u00eb qendroren Khreshchatyk, rrug\u00ebn kryesore t\u00eb Kievit, q\u00eb ka t\u00ebrhequr turma qytetar\u00ebsh, t\u00eb d\u00ebshiruar q\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebnin nj\u00eb\u00a0selfie<\/i>\u00a0kujtim p\u00ebrkrah nj\u00eb armatimi rus t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruar.<\/p>\n

Sigurisht q\u00eb apelet e Zelensky deri m\u00eb tani kan\u00eb mbetur t\u00eb pad\u00ebgjuara, n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb q\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara nga shkurti deri m\u00eb gushtin e 2022 kan\u00eb d\u00ebrguar m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 10 miliard dollar\u00eb vet\u00ebm n\u00eb ndihma ushtarake, q\u00eb u shtohen 2.5 miliard dollar\u00ebve t\u00eb caktuara nga Bashkimi Europian dhe 2.3 miliard st\u00ebrlinave t\u00eb Mbret\u00ebris\u00eb s\u00eb Bashkuar. P\u00ebr ta kuptuar deri n\u00eb fund r\u00ebnd\u00ebsin\u00eb e k\u00ebtyre shifrave, mjafton t\u00eb mendosh se i gjith\u00eb buxheti p\u00ebr ndihmat ushtarake t\u00eb jashtme t\u00eb Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara n\u00eb 2020 ka qen\u00eb 11.6 miliard dollar\u00eb, nj\u00eb shif\u00ebr q\u00eb p\u00ebrfshinte 3.3 miliard\u00ebt p\u00ebr Izraelin, 2.8 miliard\u00ebt p\u00ebr Afganistanin dhe 1.3 miliard\u00ebt p\u00ebr Egjiptin. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, nga kjo pik\u00ebpamje konflikti ukrainas ka shfaqur centralitetin amerikan n\u00eb ekuilibrat gjeopolitik\u00eb t\u00eb kontinentit europian, nj\u00eb element ende vendimtar dhe q\u00eb i mban Shtetet e Bashkuara t\u00eb fort\u00eb n\u00eb rolin e tyre si lider\u00eb t\u00eb padiskutuar t\u00eb Per\u00ebndimit. Por pavar\u00ebsisht nj\u00eb rikuperimi t\u00eb duksh\u00ebm t\u00eb ushtris\u00eb ukrainase n\u00eb zon\u00ebn jugore t\u00eb vendit, shifrat gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme n\u00eb ndihma ushtarake dhe p\u00ebrdorimi i arm\u00ebve dhe i mjeteve dora dor\u00ebs m\u00eb t\u00eb sofistikuara, do t\u00eb ishte megjithat\u00eb nj\u00eb gabim t\u00eb mendohej p\u00ebr p\u00ebrmbysje t\u00eb menj\u00ebhershme n\u00eb frontin e konfliktit. Ideja se Ukraina po rikuperon mund ta b\u00ebj\u00eb m\u00eb pak in\u00e7izive k\u00ebrkes\u00ebn p\u00ebr ndihma ushtarake, nj\u00eb faktor q\u00eb duhet analizuar edhe n\u00eb raport me trazirat politike dhe sociale q\u00eb pritet t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet Europa, pak muaj nga nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr q\u00eb paralajm\u00ebrohet shum\u00eb i ashp\u00ebr n\u00eb frontin energjitik.<\/p>\n

Kart\u00ebrat n\u00eb duart e Putinit<\/b><\/p>\n

Pik\u00ebrisht mbi k\u00ebt\u00eb synon shum\u00eb Vladimir Putini, q\u00eb pret nj\u00eb fleksion t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetjes s\u00eb Bashkimit Europian ndaj Kievit pas nj\u00eb sezoni dim\u00ebror q\u00eb do t\u2019i shtyj\u00eb \u00e7mimet e gazit dhe nat\u00ebs n\u00eb maksimumet historike. \u00cbsht\u00eb evidente se presidenti rus po lufton sot nj\u00eb luft\u00eb ndryshe nga ajo q\u00eb kishte hipotezuar, por pavar\u00ebsisht nj\u00eb krize ekonomike epokale p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb dhe raportet dora dor\u00ebs gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb t\u00eb ftoh\u00ebta me drejtuesit e forcave t\u00eb armatosura dhe t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs t\u00eb FSB, \u00ebsht\u00eb duksh\u00ebm n\u00eb kontrollin e situat\u00ebs, sidomos n\u00eb rast se skenari do t\u00eb mbes\u00eb p\u00ebr momentin m\u00eb i mundshmi, dometh\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb luft\u00eb f\u00ebrkimi ku ushtria m\u00eb e m\u00ebsuar n\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetjen e cfilitjes s\u00eb betej\u00ebs do ta ket\u00eb m\u00eb mir\u00eb, nj\u00eb karakteristik\u00eb kjo q\u00eb e vendos Rusin\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb gjendje avantazhi t\u00eb duksh\u00ebm. Ve\u00e7 k\u00ebsaj, Putini mundet t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetet akoma mbi nj\u00eb num\u00ebr t\u00eb madh rezervist\u00ebsh, duke qen\u00eb se megjith\u00ebse flitet p\u00ebr muaj, trupat e rregullta ruse nuk jan\u00eb forcuar kurr\u00eb nga ndihma t\u00eb jashtme dhe synon t\u00eb mbaj\u00eb n\u00ebn presion opinionin publik rus duke organizuar n\u00eb shtator nj\u00eb proces spektak\u00ebl kund\u00ebr rob\u00ebrve t\u00eb Batalionit Azov t\u00eb kapur n\u00eb betej\u00ebn e Mariupolit, t\u00eb akuzuar p\u00ebr \u201cnaziz\u00ebm\u201d. Nj\u00eb faktor tjet\u00ebr p\u00ebr t\u2019u mbajtur n\u00eb konsiderat\u00eb ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb me mund\u00ebsin\u00eb q\u00eb Rusia me ant\u00eb t\u00eb referendumeve t\u00eb pilotuara mbi shembullin e asaj q\u00eb ka ndodhur n\u00eb Krime m\u00eb 2014 t\u00eb deklaroj\u00eb aneksimin zyrtar t\u00eb territoreve t\u00eb Luganskut, Donjeckut dhe Khersonit, nj\u00eb eventualitet i theksuar shum\u00eb her\u00eb n\u00eb jav\u00ebt e fundit nga z\u00ebdh\u00ebn\u00ebsi amerikan p\u00ebr Sigurin\u00eb Komb\u00ebtare\u00a0 John Kirby. Duksh\u00ebm q\u00eb do t\u00eb b\u00ebhej qart\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb l\u00ebvizje q\u00eb nuk do t\u00eb kishte asnj\u00eb vler\u00eb n\u00eb frontin e njohjes nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare (pik\u00ebrisht si\u00e7 ka ndodhur me Krimen\u00eb), por q\u00eb do t\u00eb sh\u00ebrbente thjesht instrument propagande p\u00ebr Mosk\u00ebn.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb \u00e7do rast, kjo luft\u00eb deri m\u00eb tani ka m\u00ebsuar se \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebhen parashikime. Skenari m\u00eb i mundsh\u00ebm parashikon gjithmon\u00eb n\u00eb periudh\u00eb afatgjat\u00eb nj\u00eb Rusi n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb kontrolloj\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb porcionin lindor t\u00eb vendit, me Donbasin n\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00ebsi, por e paaft\u00eb t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb m\u00eb tej. Nj\u00eb situat\u00eb ng\u00ebr\u00e7i me territorin ukrainas e ndar\u00eb m\u00eb dysh dhe nj\u00eb gjendje substanciale tensioni t\u00eb p\u00ebrhersh\u00ebm. S\u00eb fundi, q\u00eb sh\u00ebrbejn\u00eb si sfond dramatik i k\u00ebtyre 6 muajve t\u00eb par\u00eb t\u00eb luft\u00ebs jan\u00eb numrat lidhur me vdekjet, t\u00eb plagosurit dhe t\u00eb shp\u00ebrngulurit. Sipas Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara, civil\u00ebt ukrainas e mbetur t\u00eb vrar\u00eb nga shkurti deri m\u00eb sot do t\u00eb ishin midis 6000 dhe 8000 (por \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb llogaritje e ul\u00ebt, pasi p\u00ebr zyrtar\u00ebt ukrainas civil\u00ebt e vrar\u00eb do t\u00eb ishin rreth 50000), me m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 10000 t\u00eb plagosur, t\u00eb cil\u00ebve u shtohen rreth 10000 t\u00eb vdekurve dhe 30000 t\u00eb plagosurve t\u00eb ushtris\u00eb ukrainase. M\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira vler\u00ebsimet n\u00eb frontin rus, q\u00eb gjith\u00ebsesi mund t\u00eb llogariten, duke i af\u00ebrsuar vler\u00ebsimet e l\u00ebshuara nga qeveria ukrainase, qeveria e Mosk\u00ebs, NATO dhe Pentagoni, me t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn 20000 ushtarak\u00eb rus\u00eb t\u00eb vdekur dhe 40000 t\u00eb plagosur. Gjith\u00ebsesi, n\u00eb total deri m\u00eb sot n\u00eb pushtimin rus t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs duhet t\u00eb ken\u00eb vdekur t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn rreth 40000 njer\u00ebz. Nj\u00eb hekatomb\u00eb e p\u00ebrbindshme, t\u00eb cil\u00ebs i shtohen 12 milion ukrainasit (30% e banor\u00ebve t\u00eb vendit, popullsia totale e t\u00eb cilit ishte 42 milion banor\u00eb) t\u00eb detyruar t\u00eb largohen p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb luft\u00ebs: 6 milion jan\u00eb sot n\u00eb vende t\u00eb tjera europiane, kurse gjysma tjet\u00ebr ka gjetur strehin brenda kufijve ukrainas. Sipas Komisariatit t\u00eb Lart\u00eb t\u00eb Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara, totalisht 10 milion qytetar\u00eb ukrainas e kan\u00eb kaluar kufirin nga nisja e konfliktit e deri m\u00eb sot, thuajse 4 milion kan\u00eb vendosur nga maji e k\u00ebtej t\u00eb rikthehen n\u00eb sht\u00ebpi, me shpres\u00ebn e bindur se lufta do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb shpejt.<\/p>\n

(nga\u00a0Aspenia Institute<\/i>)<\/p>\n

P\u00ebrgatiti<\/b><\/p>\n

ARMIN TIRANA<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Himars. \u00cbsht\u00eb kjo fjala ky\u00e7 e jav\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit p\u00ebr t\u00eb treguar zhvillimet e pushtimit rus t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs.\u00a0High Mobility Artillery Rocket System\u00a0\u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb sistem i shum\u00ebfisht\u00eb l\u00ebshimi raketash, shum\u00eb i leht\u00eb, q\u00eb montohet mbi mjetet ushtarake dhe q\u00eb dallohet prej aft\u00ebsis\u00eb godit\u00ebse, duke d\u00ebmtuar n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb thell\u00eb, objektiva deri n\u00eb 120 kilometra larg\u00ebsi. N\u00eb …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":23095,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23094"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23094"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23094\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23095"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23094"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23094"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foltore.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23094"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}